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COVID-19 Antibody Passports: Are They Coming?

Are vaccine passports or proof of one being vaccinated for COVID-19 protection legally enforceable? That is a question for legal minds, especially at the U.S. Constitutional level. The question has multiple layers that must be addressed before it’s possible to achieve a logical and legal answer:

  • What level can these passports be required, and by who?
  • Can governors require COVID passports?
  • Can private businesses require passports before allowing customers access to their products and services?
  • Can the federal government pass a mandatory vaccination passport requirement?
  • What does the Constitution say about a COVID passport requirement?
  • Is such a requirement a violation of the HIPPA law?
  • Is there a “one-and-done” mandate that covers every contingency, even possible?

Wow! The list of possible questions above is just a start. But make no mistake: we ARE headed down that road. When, for whom, from whom, and specifics will certainly be exhaustively negotiated. But it’s virtually certain there will be some proof-of-vaccination element before too much longer.

Due to COVID-19, the fragile economy, travel restrictions, and generalized anxieties, the concept of antibodies as a “declaration of immunity” or “passport” is sweeping the world. Numerous scientific and ethical issues confound the concept of an antibody passport; nonetheless, antibodies can be seen as a potential currency to allow the movement of people and resuscitation of global economics. Just as financial currency can be forged, so too is the potential for fraudulent antibody passports. This paper explores matters of science, ethics, and identity theft, as well as the problems of bias and discrimination that could promulgate a world of pandemic “golden passports.”

The concept of a “passport” is changing due to COVID-19. Conventionally, a passport is an official document issued by a government agency to certify identity and citizenship and authorize travel. “Golden passports” have been sought after by the wealthy as a method to gain citizenship by investment in regions of the world that have advantageous tax structures (Shachar 2017). In the era of COVID-19, antibodies (proteins made by the immune system to fight infection) are posed as a form of currency that can permit “certified” individuals to return to work or travel (see, for example, Bartlett 2020). In this way, antibodies for SARS-CoV-2 (severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus type 2—the COVID-19 coronavirus) are potentially the new golden passport, but the concept is a moving target with clinical unknowns, as well as legal and ethical complexity (Phelan 2020; Persad and Emanuel 2020).

Research and innovation normally move at the pace of a marathon, but during a pandemic, the pace is more like a sprint, creating an environment that is ripe for human error, as well as research and business misconduct, amid a sea of scientific uncertainty, anxious patients and families, and economic frailty (Bramstedt 2020). In the United States, at least 160 types of antibody test kits have been available; however, due to limited regulatory assessment in the race to release products, these have questionable performance (Burton 2020). Sensitivity and specificity performance thresholds are now set (U.S. Food and Drug Administration 2020a), and the results are cataloged in an open-access format (U.S. Food and Drug Administration 2020b). Yet even with a robust quality standard and improved regulatory screening of test kits, there remain more questions to address.

At-Home Testing

Home testing for the identification of SARS-CoV-2 RNA [active infection] is already available in the United States (U.S. Food and Drug Administration 2020c). This permits symptomatic people [patients] to self-swab with a home collection kit, sending their nasal swab sample via priority shipping to the approved laboratory for analysis. Kits are registered online with a twelve-digit barcode that links the patient to the collection tube. Positive results are reported to the patient and the public health authority. Positive results can facilitate a clinical treatment plan, but what is the role of negative results? How long does the negative result last, and when should such patients be retested? These questions about negative results are important because there can be a window of time during which patients (with and without symptoms) are infected and potential vectors of the disease. Also, knowing the true source of the sample is vital; this is not necessarily the name of the person linked to the barcode. There are many ways to fake an identity, but genetic linking can give a true identity. However, the associated patient documents for the RNA home test do not mention any provision for genetic testing to identify the sample owner (LabCorp 2020a, 2020b).

Currently, COVID-19 antibody testing requires an in-person visit for blood sampling in the inpatient or outpatient setting. This in-person visit allows for personal identification verification of the sample provider. If COVID-19 antibody testing evolves to the home setting using a finger-stick blood sample, the issue of identity verification emerges (Brown 2012). This is because a positive antibody result’s perceived social and economic value is significant, and fraudulent sampling can occur with ease (for example, submission of a sample from someone already confirmed to be COVID-19 antibody positive). Without verification of the true owner of the antibody specimen, identity theft could be a new problem of this pandemic.

Fraudulent Certifications/Passports

With the COVID-19 pandemic causing a fragile worldwide economy and millions of people unemployed (Congressional Research Service 2020), there is a risk of antibody certificates being viewed as the “golden passport” to return to work and travel. The WHO (World Health Organization 2020) has stated the presence of SARS-CoV-2 antibodies is not a guarantee that a person cannot be reinfected (Fu, Chen, and Wang 2020). Also, some people might have false-positive tests for SARS-CoV-2 antibodies and have zero protection against their first infection (Ismail 2020). Conversely, another potential situation that has been observed is patients have prior tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 RNA (active infection with or without symptoms) and yet test negative for SARS-CoV-2 antibodies (Centers for Disease Control and Prevention 2020). Those with negative antibody test results could use various forms of identity theft to confer themselves a positive test result.

Even if a positive result were scientifically confirmed to confer immunity, there would be the additional matter of a validity date/expiration date. Also, there is the matter of creating a globally recognized standard for certification [test method, titres], robust certification agencies, and the logistical issues of documentation language so that certificates could be readable across countries.

Preventing a Caste System

Attempting to rescue the economy with a scientifically unproven antibody passport is problematic for many reasons, including a false sense of health security. But if a COVID-19 antibody passport could be scientifically validated and distributed via a system with globalized recognition, there is the potential for a caste system to result; namely, the haves and the have nots of “golden passports.” Those holding such a passport could benefit from work and movement rights similar to the rights generated by customary immigration visas and passports. Systems to prevent fraud with the antibody passport could be implemented using biometrics; however, there could remain a group of people for whom work and travel could have restrictions. This could create coercion for people to intentionally expose themselves to the virus (Kates 2020) in order to “earn” a passport that could provide them valuable privileges.

Ethically, work and travel restrictions are appropriate for people who are actively infected. Work and travel restrictions could also be appropriate for others as well, but care must be taken to not psychologically or otherwise damage those who are “not immune” from COVID-19. Stigma as well as other harms, could potentially negatively impact a person’s employability, promotability, insurance rates, access to housing, etc. These ethical concerns heighten the need for policy advisors to reflect beyond the science when they consider enacting antibody passports.

In the future, there might be a call for COVID-19 vaccination certificates (Phelan 2020); however, this too will generate legal and ethical debate. There will be issues of cost, access, safety, and consent, but also many facets of the current antibody issue will be present as well, namely, antibody titres, re-infectivity, and expiry/boosters. The ethical call is to proactively reflect on these antibody-related matters to create systems that are clinically safe and fraud-resistant and avoid discrimination.

Summary

It seems that every American comes down in dramatic fashion on one side of the mandatory vaccine passport or the other. Very few straddle the fence. That makes this issue even more critical. And, quite honestly, it’s normally just the type of issue that politicians run away from all the time. Why? They don’t want the alienation of half of the voters, which is certain to happen if/when a vaccine passport is required. Look at the similar issues in politics that have shown up at various times and how politicians have treated them: same-sex marriage, abortion, voting rights, etc. No matter on which side one finds themselves on, there is almost always an equal number of those opposite in perspective. The high ground has always been to “straddle the fence.” But COVID passports are a different story.

How so? There are life and death decisions involved that now are uncertain. Of course, pundits consistently claim their perspective to be THE scientific and factual one.

How can this be best resolved? My answer is that it should be resolved in some manner than a one-size-fits-all form. IMHO, that form should be based solely upon the desires of the individual, if an adult. And adults should make the decisions for their minor children or wards — and do so with consultation with their own health professionals.

Will we ever reach a consensus on this? It’s doubtful that even a slight majority will ever land on one side. The reason for that, I feel, is purposeful. The “experts” keep each question and subsequent answer up in the air perpetually if possible. I think they feed on the uncertainly and use it for political advantage. We may NEVER know for certain how most Americans truly feel about this.

This is a tough one and will probably not be resolved quickly. I urge all to stick close to REAL facts that YOU can prove from reliable and independent sources. There’s no better way to reach a confident and comfortable level without using that process. Otherwise, what’s ahead for millions of Americans is MORE confusion, MORE anger and hurt, and MORE traumatic circumstances that will surely result in violence.

The only preventative for this I can see is for our leaders to step in unity to the proverbial “consensus” and accept whatever option is closest to one’s personal feelings. But insist on the preservation of YOUR right to decide or not as long as possible!

Remember: though they say continually vaccines work and the unvaccinated will infect the World, there’s no conclusive basis for that assumption. Demand your rights be honored, too!

Mandatory vaccinations and passports are NOT the products of a democratic country, rather of those many countries that espouse totalitarian policies for their people. That’s NOT the United States — well at least right now.

Could that too be changing?

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